Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers: Breakdown of Super Bowl XLV Matchups

January 27, 2011   ·   Erik Frenz   ·   Jump to comments

If defense wins championships, then we're in for one heck of a title fight in Super Bowl XLV. The top two defenses in the league square off in Dallas, TX in the new Cowboys Stadium.
That doesn't necessarily mean, though, that we should expect a low-scoring game. This match-up also features two of the best young quarterbacks in the league in Ben Roethlisberger and Aaron Rodgers.
Of course, the game will not fall entirely on either man. How, then, will the match-ups break down?
Note: We will look at a stat from FootballOutsiders.com known as defense-adjusted value on average (heretofore DVOA), which calculates the average value of a unit on a per-down basis. For example, a three-yard pass play on 1st-and-10 is seen as a negative play, but a three-yard pass play on 3rd-and-2 is seen as a positive play. It also takes into account the difficulty of the opponent.

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