Bill O’Brien’s First Year: Fluke or Sign of Burgeoning Star Coach?

February 24, 2015   ·   Rivers McCown   ·   Jump to comments

Under the management of head coach Bill O'Brien, the Houston Texans went from 2-14 in 2013 to the doorstep of the playoffs at 9-7.
Most of the discussion about Houston coming into 2014 centered on just how much regression to the mean was due. In other words, if we subtracted all the Matt Schaub pick-sixes and the hideous minus-20 turnover margin, how good was this team?
In 2015, I would argue that we're headed for a discussion in the other direction.
Houston finished second in the NFL in turnover differential at plus-12. It played the easiest schedule in the NFL, according to Football Outsiders' DVOA. Defensive end J.J. Watt had a season for the ages.
And in perhaps the greatest sign that the Texans were playing over their head, their pass offense DVOA improved from minus-19.7 percent to plus-7.9 percent.
They achieved this despite starting Case Keenum twice and having known mediocrity in Ryan Fitzpatrick drop back 334 times.
But what I'd li...

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