The Bettor’s Guide to NFL Week 9
November 4, 2016 · Justis Mosqueda · Jump to comments
After three straight winning weeks against the spread, we finished one game under .500 in our Week 8 action. Relatively, though, we did fine compared to the books, which according to ESPN Radio's RJ Bell, based on CG Technology's numbers, had the worst week in two NFL seasons this past week.
In our last four weeks, we've finished with a winning record against the spread or above the threshold of the sportsbooks. Knowing that, I like our chances moving forward.
Viewing the math from FiveThirtyEight's Elo ratings, Football Outsiders' DVOA metrics and the Massey Ratings, we can figure out how a team should be valued from a power-ranking standpoint, and by using TeamRanking.com's historical database, we can find trends that some may not be aware of. Finding an edge, one way or another, is incredibly important.
Juxtaposing that against Odds Sharks' aggregation of over a dozen lines, we can tell you which teams are undervalued and what the best lines a...
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