Ghosts of NFL First Rounders Past: Evaluating the 2007 Draft

August 11, 2010   ·   Benjamin C. Klein   ·   Jump to comments


Grading an NFL draft pick the day after the draft is a mistake. Mario Williams’ selection as the first overall pick in 2006 had most NFL analysts laughing themselves to sleep. Two years later those same reporters had to gulp down heaping helpings of roasted crow. Don’t judge too quick.
The lesson that people should learn from the Mario Williams draft is that evaluating how a draft will turn out the day after a draft is not only impossible, but counter productive. Calling a kid a bust before he has ever stepped onto the field is insane, unfair, and cruel. I can predict a kid will be a bust, but I can’t guarantee anything.
This year Tyson Aluala of the Jacksonville Jaguars is learning that lesson. Most of the NFL mass media has already labeled him a bust. While it is true Jacksonville deserves bad grades for reaching for him, Aluala himself still has a chance to justify that pick and turn into a great player. The same could be said of Tim Tebow.
The...

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