NFL Picks Week 15: Advice for Current Vegas Odds, Spreads and Over-Under Lines

December 15, 2015   ·   Steve Silverman   ·   Jump to comments

There's a belief in sports that no teams is as good as it looks when it's at its best, and no team is as awful as it looks when it's at its worst.
If that's the case, it may explain why the Jacksonville Jaguars are just a three-point favorite over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 15, according to Odds Shark.
The Jaguars are coming off a 51-16 victory over the Indianapolis Colts, while the Falcons were blitzed by the undefeated Carolina Panthers 38-0.
The Jaguars have won three of their last five games, while the Falcons are in a brutal tailspin, having dropped six games in a row and seven of their last eight.
If the line was based just on the current trends, the homestanding Jaguars would be seven-point favorites or more.
It seems like the oddsmakers are inviting us to take a flier on the Jaguars. 
We are inclined to believe that the Jaguars have an excellent chance of beating the Falcons by a lot more than a field goal. The Jacksonville offense is on fire...

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